#PNWPokerCalendar Planner for August 5

The Poker Mutant is always looking for the next big score (he kind of needs it these days), and as usual I was looking at my personal poker calendar, crossing off things that I’m not going to make it to (goodbye, Ante Up Thunder Valley Main Event!). Personal circumstance dictates my schedule’s not going to be as open as it has been over the past years, so I’m not going to be able to take off for a week at a time, which rather limits options for larger events and series. Driving makes it a lot easier to play an open-ended schedule, even if you need to have to spend a couple days in transit, but with shorter travel windows, that’s more difficult to manage.

Still, just like during the summer in Las Vegas, I’m planning ahead, so that I can be ready to take advantage of any opportunity that arises. Which means looking at schedules.

Bay 101 Open Main Event: Deal of the Day

What caught my eye today was the Main Event of the Bay 101 Open in San Jose. San Jose is a direct destination from PDX and there are usually a number of flights full of Intel folks shuttling between Hillsboro and the Bay Area. Once upon a time, I flew semi-regularly to SJC and San Francisco, sometimes just for day trips to trade shows.

The Bay 101 Open ME is an $1,000 + 100 buy-in NLHE tournament (with limited seating) that has two starting days: Saturday, September 12th and Sunday, September 13th, with Day 2 on Monday the 14th. Both starting days kick off at what might seem like and un-reasonable weekend 9:30am. Last year’s event had just over 500 entries, with a $500K prize pool and almost $100K going to the winner. There’s no guarantee, but this year’s winner gets a $7,500 seat to the WPT Bay 101 Shooting Star tournament next spring.

Checking on Orbitz and Expedia, there were still a few seats on Alaska Airlines’ 6am flight PDX – SJC for just $150 RT. It’s scheduled to get in to San Jose before 8am, and the casino’s less than a 10-minute taxi ride. If you can lock down a seat on the plane and in the tournament, you’re ahead of me, I just don’t know what my schedule will be in mid-September.

This Week in Portland Poker

Special events coming up this weekend are:

  • $9K Guarantee NLHE ($60 buyin, no rebuy, $30 addon) at Encore Club on Thursday at 8pm (ignore the link above the graphic and the link on the graphic, their web person is missing some stuff lately). Friday night is the regular $15K ($60 buyin with 1 live rebuy, $30 addon) and regular schedules on Saturday and Sunday (a total of $20K of guarantees over 10 tournaments)
  • Final Table has the First Friday $20K ($100 buyin, 1 rebuy if felted, $50 addon)at 7pm. I personally like the structure of this tournament: it starts 200BB deep it’s nine-handed, and the M of the starting stack goes from 22 to 12 in the first round with antes instead of 25 to 8. And I really dislike live rebuys. I dislike rebuys period.
  • For those of you who want more cards, Portland Players Club has a $2K Guarantee Big O (aka The Devil’s Game) tournament Saturday at 5pm. $100 for 30K in chips, but it’s Big O, so you know you’ll probably need one or two $100 rebuys and a $40 20K addon.

Only a Day Away

As usual, all these events are on the Pacific Northwest Tournament Calendar, with links.

PNW_WSOP_15 Summer Series Report for June 8

WSOP Event #16 $1.5K NLHE Millionaire Maker

This was the big one, and Portland card room regular Micah Bell was the top PNW player in the field, finishing 21st for a prize of $45K in a field with some big names. He eliminated Bart Hansen, the man behind the training site Crush Live Poker, but then doubled up Erick “E-Dog” Lindgren before eventually losing to Lindren in a hand that took him and another player out at the same time while propelling Lindgren to 2nd in chips to start Day 4.

Day 1, Day 2, and ITM finish positions in the Millionaire Maker for players from Oregon, Washington, British Columbia, and Idaho are available here. 31 PNW players made it into the money, with Bell (WA), Darlene Lee (BC), Parminder Kumar (WA), and Bradley Zusman (OR) making it to the top 100 and Day 3. Results

WSOP Event #17 $10K Razz

Phil Hellmuth may have won a bracelet in this event (#14), but Tommy Hang of Washington had a good run to make 13th place for $19.6K. Results

WSOP Event #18 $1K NLHE Turbo

No PNW players made it into Day 2 (final day) of this event (only 29 of the 1,791 entries did), but ubiquitous Washington pro Tyler Patterson took 62nd for $4.2K, with Oregon’s Kyle Zartman close behind at 67th ($3.6K). Parviz Khorram (WA, 148th) and Kevin MacPhee (ID, 153rd) both cashed for just under $2K. Results

WSOP Event #19 $3K LHE 6-Max

Checking in on Day 2 of this event while the Millionaire Maker was running yesterday, it looked like it was going to be a good day for Portland’s Binh Nguyen, and the last report that mentioned him had him eliminating a player in the level before the dinner break, but he’s not on the roster for Day 3. In fact, none of the PNW players who made Day 2—Daniel Ratigan, Rep Porter, Ryan Turner, Christopher Holden (all WA); Dylan Linde (ID); or 2+2 PokerCast co-host Terrence Chan and Dan Idema (the brother of Adam Schwartz, the other Pokercast co-host), both from British Columbia—were on the roster for today.

WSOP Event #20 $1.5K NLHE

Portland’s Jacob Dahl, just off a near-miss for a bracelet in Event #3 $1.5K Omaha 8/B, is in position #17—over 100K—among the 272 returning players from a starting field of 1,844 for Day 2 of this event. Also returning from the NW: Christopher Paasch, Ken Lynn, Nicholas Nowak (OR); Parminder Kumar (who cashed at 65th yesterday in the Millionaire Maker), Tolga Ural, David Price, Scott Eskanazi, Dustin Leary (all WA); Thomas Taylor, Greg Mueller, Eric Vallee, and the afore-mentioned Dan Idema (BC); plus Kevin MacPhee of Idaho). 198 places pay, with $460K up top.

WSOP Event #21 $10K Omaha 8/B

Oregon’s Steve Chanthabouasy is 12th among the 101 remaining players for Day 2 of this tournament (that started with 157). Still a ways to go before the 18 places that pay. Joe Mitchell of Eugene is in 80th position. Scott Clements, Tai Nguyen, and Noah Bronstein represent Washington, with Calen McNeil in for British Columbia. Dylan Linde is there for Idaho.

Linde, McNeil, and Bronstein all cashed in the Millionaire Maker. Nguyen has already made the money in both Event #3 $1.5K Omaha 8/b and Event #13 $2.5K Omaha/Seven Card Stud 8/B this year.

Grand Poker Series #19 $350 NLHE $100K Guarantee

The Grand series at the Golden Nugget has massively missed a couple of their low buy-in two-day $100K guarantees since Colossus weekend. This event had 209 entries, which meant just over $60K of player contributions to the prize pool. Li An and Chen Chun—both of Seatttle, Washington, were there to collect some of the $40K overlay, finishing 7th and 15th, respectively.

Wynn Summer Classic #1 $300 NLHE $100K Guarantee

The Wynn got a somewhat better turnout for its $100K with three starting days, at 505 entries and a prize pool of more than $130K. The cashing field was more than half Nevada players, but Phillippe Olbrechts of Washington and William Firebraugh of Idaho took 5th and 38th, respectively. A deal gave the three top players $19.5K each, Phillippe took home just about $7K.

Take On the OG Challenge

It was four years ago this month that Bluff magazine profiled Chadd Baker, the then-new owner of Portland Players Club, the original poker room in Portland. There had been rumors over the past year or so that Chadd was looking to move on to new opportunities (and, presumably, to spend more time with his new daughter), but yesterday he posted this on Facebook (and a link on the club’s web site):

4+ years and 4,452 Poker Tournaments.

It’s been an amazing, tough, and eye opening experience being my own boss, but I’m ready to take on a new challenge.

The Players Club was a great opportunity for me and now I’m looking to hand over the reigns to someone who has a passion for poker, and the drive to be successful.

The ideal someone is a self-starter, wants to be their own boss, and is 100% reliable. If you’re interested in a new and exciting opportunity as a small business owner, this may be your gig. Lots to sit down and talk about, so much opportunity ahead for the right person.

Interested?

8+ years of Portland Poker History.

Inspired persons may send emails to PlayersClubPDX@yahoo.com
or
send a PM to The Players Club.

Serious inquiries will be responded to

I’ve had a fondness for PPC ever since just after Black Friday, when my first trip back there under Chadd’s management resulted in a win over an 80-entry field. He’s run a great place for low-budget players to play, with door fees of only $5 if you get there before noon, and an 11am freeroll tournament that’s been a stepping-stone and fallback for a lot of limited bankrolls. He’s put in a huge amount of work to keep the place running, and it’s still the go-to room for anyone interested in non-Hold’em games, with Big O tournaments running a couple times a day (there’s a $2K guarantee, $250 buyin Big O tournament this Saturday), HORSE and other specialty tournaments on Sundays, and innovations that none of the other clubs in town seem to be able to handle. The dealers who’ve come through the place have been some of the best: they have to be, because of the quantity of cards they deal and their hand reading for four and five-card games, plus high/low games.

A great opportunity for someone with a lot of drive and dedication to the game.

Ship, Ahoy!

I don’t know how long it’s going to last, but I’m going to ride this little surge as long as possible. After busting out of the event at High Mountain, I came home and played Bovada’s nightly $4K guarantee $5.50 Turbo Rebuy, making a small cash with 41st place out of 383 entries. The next night was the Final Table $20K where I took 7th. After coming home from a wonderful birthday/anniversary dinner at the restaurant my wife and I have considered “our” place for thirties years—which is closing at the end of the month—I late-regged the nightly $7,500 10K Chips/10 Minute Levels on Bovada, made it as high as 3rd place on the leader board with 200 players left as we neared the money bubble, then eventually went out 42nd of 1,202 entries for a min-cash. Min-cashed it again last night in 112th place. Then I won a 59-entry $200 Turbo PLO tournament that I forgot was high-only, picking hands that probably wouldn’t have been in my range for the first half until one of my lows didn’t pay off.

Five straight cashes, two in events with more than 1,000 entries. I know it won’t last, but I think it’s a personal best.

Moar Cards

A couple of tournament droughts have been broken with a short flurry of cashes, just in time for the holidays. 5 cashes in 13 tournaments so far this week, with 11th and 5th in a couple 100+ entry games, my first win (heck, my first cash) in a long time at the home game that got me into NLHE a few years back, and a couple wins in non Hold-’em games. I played a $6,500 guarantee at Encore Club yesterday, busted out after losing half my stack in a Ax Kx v Ax Ax showdown, then chopped a small Big O game at Portland Players Club heads-up. And the night before, there was this.

Bovada PLO8 Quadruple-Up (T1,500)

I like these kinds of Survivor-style tournaments. A quarter of the entries get 300% profit. And I really love PLO8. But there were some peculiarities.

Hand 5 7 4 A 3 UTG T1,410 10/20
I called with my suited ace and a couple of low cards; CO and SB were along for the ride and the flop hit T 6 4. Everyone checked, a Q hit the turn and SB bet 20, which I called. We were HU. 7 on the river. A bad two pair and second-nut low for me was enough to call SB’s bet of 40 on the river. He showed 6 J K 5 and I scooped the pot.

Hand 6 T 6 A 2 SB T1,530 10/20
CO limped in but BTN raised to 90 with 5 A T A. I called with my potential low, and CO came along with Q 4 9 Q. We checked through to the turn and the board read K 5 9 Q. CO bet 40 with his set of queens, BTN came along, and I folded since there was no possible low any longer. BTN called a big bet with trips when a 5 hit the river, but the full house took it.

Hand 8 T 9 J 8 UTG1 T1,420 20/40
Table change. I limped in, then called a raise from CO along with BTN and BB. We got to the turn with checks on a board of 8 5 2 4, BTN made a bet of 340 with K 4 A 6 and stole it away with third pair and double gutter draw.

Hand 10 8 5 A T SB T1,340 20/40
Three limpers, me, and BB got to a flop of 6 3 8. UTG (2 6 8 2) bet 200 on top two pair and I called, along with BB (9 4 J 5) and his double gutter. J for the turn and I called another 400 from UTG, but BB dropped out, probably a mistake as he was favored for the high. I had a bad low, but was the only one of the three of us with scoop possibilites. a 3 on the river gave me two pair, but inferior to UTG’s, and I took the low.

Hand 11 A 4 K J CO T1,500 20/40
I didn’t notice it at this point, but we were six-handed at the table (seats 1, 2, 4, 7, 8, and 9 were occupied). Nobody had been knocked out on the last hand, no new players had been brought in. As SB on the last hand, I should have been BTN this hand, but the button skipped over me and went from seat 9 on hand 10 to seat 2 on hand 11. This pattern continued throughout the tournament. I hadn’t even seen it before, but it would cause some trouble later in the game, and was particularly punishing to players in the wrong positions on tables with six or eight players. Anyway, I called, along with SB and then bet pot on the J A Q flop to take the hand.

Hand 12 J 5 A K UTG T1,580 20/40
I was HU with BB and the flop was Q 6 T. I called 40 on the flop on my draw, he had 6 2 7 Q and two pair, but we were pretty much dead even on the odds calculator. 3 on the turn, but he kept it small at 40 and I called. Any ace, king, or jack locked it up for me, and K came on the river. He bet 40 again, I potted it, and he folded.

Hand 13 J J Q T SB T1,760 20/40
HJ and BTN limped in and I called. 7 J 9 gave me top set and an open-ended straight draw, so I opened up for the pot and won.

Hand 14 J 7 A A CO T1,880 20/40
I know some people like to barrel out with aces, but I like to see flops and only one of the six players at the table wasn’t in the hand to the flop of 8 T 5. SB bet 40 with 6 Q Q 7 and all the limpers called. I had the over pair and gut shot straight draw to a jack, SB was open-ended with queens, The button had a second-nut low draw and a ten, BB was open-ended with seven through ten, and HJ had a pair of kings and a five. The A on the turn put me in the lead for the high with a set. SB bet 40 again and got calls until BTN potted with 4 T 2 3 giving him a low flush draw, and a low that couldn’t be counterfeited. SB folded, BB gave up with just the straight draw and and unlikely low. HJ, with the nut flush draw (5 K K 2) made a tight lay down, which was good because there were only three spades left in the deck. I called. 6 on the river. BTN tries to steal the pot with a shove, I cross my fingers and hope my set is good. Fortunately, his bet on the turn got out the winning hands, and I take the high.

Hand 16 J Q 8 7 SB T2,060 30/60
Not having to play big blinds makes poker easier. I went from UTG on hand 15 to SB here. I limped in with UTG1 and saw it through to the turn with T T J 4 on the board, then BB and I both folded to a bet. UTG1 didn’

t have anything: 9 K A 5.

Hand 17 Q Q A K CO T2,000 30/60
I limped in, saw a 6 5 4 flop, then folded after a bet and a call with no flush draw and no low.

Hand 18 A 7 6 A UTG3 T1,940 30/60
Up to a full table at this point, which means that at least every other round everyone has to pay the big blind (so long as the table stays full). I call, along with CO and SB. The flop is A J 5. I got no diamonds, but I do have aces. CO bets 120 with and I come along with the top set. We check a 3 turn. 5 on the river, and he bets 480. There’s no possible low, I have the second nuts, and I shove. He calls with the third nuts (K J J 8) and he’s out.

Hand 19 3 3 A T UTG T3,500 30/60
I have the diamonds this time. Four players get to the flop of 7 8 9 and I bet pot to clear the field.

Hand 20 6 4 2 5 SB T3,680 30/60
BB skips over me again. This low wrap looks pretty nice. I call 120 from UTG after a 3 K 7 flop, then we check the J turn and T river. I’m bailing on any bet. At showdown he has 4 A 9 2 and ace high takes it.

Hand 22 3 5 A 3 UTG T3,500 30/60
I limp in along with UTG1 and SB, then BB raises to 300 with 4 A 8 T. Not a strategy I’d recommend with a not-particularly-good low, no nut flush draw, and not a lot of straight possibilities. I called, along with UTG1 (A 7 J K. SB bowed out. The flop was 9 2 2. BB bet 480, with 540 behind. I potted to 2,400 and UTG1 dropped out. BB called (I don’t know why), and the board ran out with 6 Q. I had the nut flush for the high and took the hand.

Hand 28 4 A 3 5 UTG2 T5,070 40/80
Wow! Six PLO8 hands without playing! It’s like a record. Five of eight players to the flop. 4 7 Q on the flop. I called a bet of 240 from HJ and we saw K on the turn HU, then I folded to another bet.

Hand 29 A A Q A UTG T4,750 40/80
Not a hand I’d normally play in PLO8, but it was worth the price of admission to see the flop of 7 T 8. I folded to a bet from BB, who ended up knocking out two players after top set on the flop turned into a flush.

Hand 30 6 2 5 Q SB T4,670 40/80
I’m one of the chip leaders in the tournament, if not the chip leader, and I’m ahead of the rest of my table by more than a thousand. Big blind skips over me again. UTG and BTN limp in, I call, and the flop is 5 8 7. I’m open-ended but just check and everyone follows along to the J turn. UTG1 opens for 160 and the other three of us call. Q on the river, UTG1 bets just 80 holding A K K K (i.e. just the pair in his hand). Everyone calls, I take the high with two paid and BTN’s 4 K J A does the low honors.

Hand 32 4 A 6 3 UTG T4,990 40/80
Suited ace and four cards six and under rates a limp from me, with UTG1 and SB calling. Everyone checks through to the river, with the board running out 3 8 K K J. UTG1 has J Q T 5 and his jack makes a better second pair to the kings than my three. He scoops.

Hand 33 J 8 9 A SB T4,910 40/80
No big blind again. Seven players and all but UTG and BTN limp in. We all check the flop, the board reads T J 3 8 on the turn, and I open to 200, getting calls from BB and CO. I have two pair, open-ended with no low and no flush draws. I bet 200. BB holds A 2 5 9, with a good shot at the low if it comes, and not much else. CO’s got 4 3 6 8, with a flush he may not be too proud of and an unimpressive low. They both call. The river is K, everyone checks, and my two pair is good for 720 profit.

Hand 35 2 Q A 8 UTG1 T5,630 50/100
It seemed like a good hand. I limped into the pot HU with BB, got 6 A 6 on the flop, J on the turn, and folded to a bet of 250. BB had 4 2 5 T for a good low draw and club flush draw.

Hand 36 5 Q K 9 BB T5,530 50/100
At last a big blind! UTG and BTN limped in, 8 6 2 hit the flop, and UTG bet 175 holding 3 J T T with just an over pair. BTN called with 3 5 3 J and the gut shot straight draw, and I had my own straight draw so I called. An 8 on the river got a bet of 437 from UTG, and a fold from the rest of us.

Hand 37 T 7 Q J BTN T5,255 50/100
Eight players and only one of us doesn’t limp into the pot. 4 4 6 on the flop. UTG2 opens up for 350 with 5 8 4 6 for a full house and everyone folds but BB, who goes all in with Q 8 3 A and second nut low draw. 2 K on the turn and river, and they chop the pot up.

Hand 38 Q T 5 5 HJ T5,155 50/100
Everyone but UTG limps in. Q 7 K for the flop, and I have bottom two. SB bets 700 and everyone folds except UTG1, who raises to 2,800. SB goes all in with his last 215 chips. The rest of the board is K 2 and both players (SB: J K Q A, UTG1: 7 6 7 6) make full houses. SB sucks out on UTG1 with the running kings.

Hand 39 A 5 Q 2 UTG2 T5,055 50/100
It’s UTG, me, UTG3, CO, BTN, SB and BB to the flop. Q 3 6. Nobody bets. 5 on the turn makes my low and I bet pot, nobody calls (maybe because I’ve got the A).

Hand 41 9 5 J A SB T5,655 50/100
BB skips over me again. It’s really punishing to the players it hits every round. Four limpers and BB to the flop. It’s A 3 2. I check. BB with J 6 A 8—also known as not a whole lot—bets 200 and gets calls from three players, including me. The turn is T and I’ve got a flush draw now. I check again. BB bets 300. UTG1 calls with Q A K 5 (Broadway draw, 2nd nut low draw), and UTG3 has 5 8 T 2 (just second pair and second low draw). The 7 river completes my flush and I pot to 2,500, getting folds from BB and UTG1. UTG3 calls all in for  with the same low everyone had and gets quartered when I take the high. He does come out ahead of where he’d have been if he folded, but he loses nearly a third of his starting-sized stack in the process.

Hand 42 K 6 3 6 CO T7,380 50/100
Eight players at the table. Everyone but HJ to the flop. 3 8 5. UTG1 leads for 700 with 9 4 K 2 and gets called by three players, gets an all in for less from SB (2 A 2 K, with a legitimate hand), and folds from BB and UTG. The A on the turn gives me the nut flush, and when UTG1 goes all in for 275 (now holding the nut low), he gets called by UTG2 (3 A Q 8) who has only 225 to back up his two pair and bad low draw. I pot for 5,248, BTN is all in to call with 2 J A T and another bad low, then UTG2 goes all in. The river is 9, there’s no more action since everyone in the hand is all in except for me. I take the high from the main pot and three sides, BTN gets the second and third side lows (losing about 1,000 chips overall), UTG1 gets the main and first side low (gaining 1,500). SB and UTG2 are gone, I win about 1,700.

Hand 46 6 A 2 4 HJ T8,922 60/120
In a quadruple up, in a pot limit game with no antes, and nearly six times the starting stack, I shouldn’t really do anything. But I called an UTG (K A T J) raise to 360 with my low cards and spade draw, and BB (7 2 5 6) came along. The flop was pretty good: 4 3 7. BB had the straight and bet pot (1,140). UTG folded his high  cards, I potted, BB was all in to call, and 9 8 came out to give us a small high/low chop.

Hand 48 8 4 J J BB T9,132 60/120
I’m no longer even chip leader at the table, as the player in BTN has more then 10K. Three of the seven players have less than starting stacks, though. I’m in seat 1, and seat three has been tanking every single hand before folding, even though we’re a long way from the chop. The shortest stack at the table, with less than 900 chips, CO limps in with 9 5 A 6. The flop is good to him: 9 2 3, I check, he bets 240, I call just to see what happens. 3 on the turn, he shoves, I call, 7 river and he scoops. That’s what happens on the rare occasion when I have to play BB.

Hand 50 6 2 4 3 HJ T8,248 80/160
I limp in, CO raises to 720, everyone else folds, and I try to knock out another short stack by calling. The flop is Q 9 4, not the best hand for a bunch of low cards, and I fold when he puts in his last 500 chips. He has A T 5 A.

Hand 51 A 3 A T UTG1 T7,528 80/160
Despite what the guy with the short stack had last hand, rolled-up aces are not a particularly strong hand in PLO8. I limp in, as does UTG2 and SB. The T 2 5 flop gives me hope, I pot to 640 and at the turn I’m HU with SB (4 T 3 4). The A on the turn isn’t actually very good for me, but I pot after the SB checks, he’s all in to call, and J on the river fails to connect up a full house for me. He has a flush and a wheel, and I’d dropping like a rock, losing 4K over four hands.

Hand 52 9 8 J 5 BB T5,820 80/160
am still near the 4x threshold for making the chop. But there’s something about actually having to pay the big blind. CO raises to 480 with Q Q 2 K and I call. The flop of K A 2 isn’t good for my middle, clubby cards, and I fold to a bet of 480.

Hand 55 2 A 2 T UTG1 T5,340 80/160
I limp in with UTG2 and SB. The flop gives me a low set with 2 K 4. We all check and 7 makes a possible low. BB bets minimum with T 6 5 3 a lot of scoop prospects, and everyone calls. J for the river and BB bets small again. I raise to 600, and only UTG2  ([Q 3 A 4) with his nut low calls. We split the pot.

Hand 56 A 5 8 2 BB T5,740 80/160
Two limpers. No bets until the river when the board reads 4 J 7 9 8. I bet 560 on the low, CO calls. He has 3 6 9 A for a pair of nines and second low, I win the low and my pair of eights lose the high.

Hand 58 A Q 2 8 HJ T5,860 100/200
I limp. HU with BB holding 2 3 2 Q. Flop A A 5, he check-calls my 500 bet. We check 5 and K to the river, no low comes for him and my trips win the pot.

Hand 59 A Q 6 7 UTG1 T6,660 100/200
Four of us go to the flop. 4 3 2 gives me the nut flush draw and some straight possibilities, so when SB bets 600 I call. We see the 4 on the turn HU. SB has the straight with 6 5 7 5 and bets 1,000. I follow along and get the flush on the K river. He bets another 1,000 and I call. My flush takes the high and he’s screwed on the low without an ace, losing three quarters of his stack in the hand.

Hand 60 J 7 6 Q BB T9,860 100/200
Three limpers and BB to the flop. Q 8 J and I bet pot on my top two pair. Everyone folds except for the guy I beat in the last hand, who’s all in for 1,100 with A 3 8 9. Lots  of straight draws and the nut flush. None of them get there with the 9 2 by the river, though, and my queens and jacks are better than his nines and eights.

Hand 64 2 A 7 A SB T11,656 125/250
A decent starting hand. Only six players at the table. CO limps, I call, and three of us get a 3 Q 9 flop. No low, but I bet 750 on my aces and everyone folds.

Hand 69 Q 7 A J CO T12,031 125/250
I’m taking my own advice and mostly sitting back to let people chew each other up at this point. I limp with UTG1, flop a good flush draw and top two pair with 4 Q A. It’s checked to the 5 turn, I bet 875 with both the flush draws, and everyone folds.

Hand 73 9 K 5 4 BTN T12,406 150/300
Action folds to me. We’re close to the chop and since both of the players in the blinds (including the habitual tanker in BB) have less than three big blinds left, I min-raise. SB is (I think) legitimately disconnected, and his A 6 A J is folded. BB tanks, time banks, then folds 4 T K T.

Hand 76 T 2 2 6 UTG T12,856 150/300
I limp in with my deuces, wait until I have the flush on the 4 6 9 T Q board, bet 300 on the turn and get a call from BB, then scoop against two pair.

Hand 77 4 8 K 3 SB T13,606 150/300
I didn’t enter the pot, but I deliberately folded my blind to BB, the shorter of the two stacks on my left, just to punish the UTG tanker as we were within a couple bustouts of the chop. One of the other players messaged “wtf?” but I got a couple of acknowledgements after aI explained what I’d done.

Hand 78 8 4 K 4 CO T13,456 150/300
Even though he wasn’t in the hot seat, the tanker couldn’t really wait much longer. He was on SB with just 450 chips left; only one blind if he folded. I limped in, SB called (when he should have just shoved) and the flop was 7 T J. SB checked, BB bet 300, I folded, and SB had to go all in or only have 150 left. BB won the hand and SB went out on the bubble after tanking every hand for an hour.

Hand 81 Q K J T BB T12,856 200/400
CO was in the hand to the flop of Q A 8, I checked, he checked, I hit the straight and nut flush draw on the 9 turn and he folded 7 2 A 6 to a bet.

Hand 86 5 4 J 5 BTN T13,656 200/400
The short stack in SB was starting with less than one blind so he was very lucky the blinds were skipping positions. The next player out would get the overage of $15 instead of a full $20. I called just to keep him honest and he folded. BB and I checked it to the river: 6 K 4 8 A. We chopped the small blind, with me taking the low.

Hand 87 A 4 K A HJ T13,576 200/400
I limped in HU with BB, bet 1,000 on the 2 6 7 flop, and he folded K T 7 3.

Hand 90 9 9 5 7 BTN T14,556 200/400
Not a hand I’d normally play, but the short stack was in all in for just 170. I limped in with two other players and everyone checked it to the river: 6 9 8 2 K. The short stack lost the hand (though he tripled his money), we all collected our chop. and that was it.

I don’t know that I’ve ever looked at my VPIP in PLO8. A full 50% in this tournament. I won at least a portion of the pot in 27 hands, 60% of the hands I played and a full 30% of the hands in the entire tournament. 21 of my played hands went to showdown (47%). I won a portion of the pot in 17 of the 21 showdowns (81%). Eight of the 17 showdown wins were scoops (47%), I took 3/4 of the pot in one showdown, and the other eight showdowns won were split evenly between high and low pots.

90 hands. Two hours and fifteen minutes. ROI: 264% including fees.

Six Weeks, $110K in Guarantees

Between May 2011 and May 2012, I played 48 tournaments at the Final Table Poker Club in east Portland. I cashed in exactly one of them, as the first player busted from the final table of their 2011 $5K Christmas tournament, winning a small prize and a bounty for knocking out one of the staff. I was winning tournaments elsewhere, so I tried not to let the bad run get to me. (My next cash there, I breezed late into a PLO8 game while I was waiting for a Bluetooth stereo system to be installed in my car just before I drove down to Las Vegas, took first place, and won enough to pay for the stereo.) Since then I have about an 18% ITM there.

It’s not a fancy place, but it’s settled into position as one of the two big card rooms in Portland, and they have a monthly $20K guarantee that’s the largest regular event in the area. At $100 for the buy-in, with a rebuy available and a $50 add-on, they’ve gotten an average of about 170 entrants this year with pots over $28K. It runs on the first Friday of the month, and if there’s a fifth Friday, they run another, so three or four times a year there are two $20Ks running here consecutive weeks.

Well, this week is the fifth Friday of August, which means there’s going to be two $20Ks in a row. But that’s not all! On Saturday, September 20th, FT’s having a $50K guarantee ($150 buy-in, 1 rebuy, $75 add-on). The last one of those pulled in over 300 entries, with a prize pool of more than $75K. So, over the next six weekends, there’s:

  • August 29th: Fifth Friday $20K guarantee
  • September 5th: First Friday $20K guarantee
  • September 20th: $50K guarantee
  • October 3rd: First Friday $20K guarantee

More than $100K in guarantees at one location in P-town in (more or less, September).

Also coming up in the next few weeks, Chinook Winds is running a Fall Coast Classic, eight events (including Big O and O8), culminating in a $100K guarantee with only a $550 entry/re-entry fee. Bewilderingly, even without the influence of the Deepstacks Poker Tour folks, they have managed to schedule it at the same time as established events in the Northwest once again. The entire schedule coincides with the Muckleshoot Summer Poker Classic. And the Chinook main event is on the kickoff weekend of the Tulalip Poker Pow Wow. Washington players in Vancouver have only a half-hour extra in travel time to get to Seattle vs. Lincoln City; pros to the south might be drawn to the HPT events at Thunder Valley outside of Sacramento (where the main event runs opposite Chinook Winds’) or further south in Fresno at Club One. 200 $550 entries and re-entries to make the $100K guarantee. I’ll be there if I can make it.

I’m trying to log tournament series and special events of interest to Portland-area players. Anything within a cheap flight or a day’s drive.

Something Shiny Pulled From a Pot of Crap

As I mentioned at the end of last month’s communiqué, I was preparing to go to the Grand Sierra Resort’s Fall Pot of Gold tournament in Reno in mid-October. I had my tickets weeks in advance, worked hard to get various projects in the office out of the way, checked in to my Monday morning flight mid-afternoon on Sunday, then saw this on the 2+2 thread about the event:

GSR CancellationA subsequent post confirmed the post, and I called the GSR poker room to get my own independent verification. I canceled my room reservation and managed to get a $30 credit for my flight, but the rest of the ticket was gone. Apparently the first event—a $100K guarantee—had fallen short by some 30%, and to prevent something similar from happening on the following weekend’s $200K, they just canceled the rest of the series. When is a guarantee not a guarantee? When your airline reservations depend on it.

That put me in a foul enough mood that I went out to Encore and took fourth place for a small cash in their $1K Sunday night guarantee. Played a dozen more events over the next couple weeks without a cash, then got in the 10pm $500 guarantee at Encore (after busting out of the weekly $10K at Final Table) and chopped it two ways.

Since it’s more cost-effective to purchase airline tickets a couple weeks out, I’d already bought a flight to Vegas with a couple of Wynn Fall Classic $100K and $250K guarantee events in mind, with daily $15K Caesars Palace Poker Classic series events to back me up. I knew they wouldn’t be canceled.

Took an early Monday morning flight to get to the Wynn, made my way over to the Encore side of the complex where the big events were starting out, and picked up my ticket for the second of two flights for the $100K, then waited a couple of hours in the coffee shop.

I played one hand. Opened with A 5 and got a substantial raise from the other end of the table. The flop was 2 9 4x. On that board, I’m statistically ahead of  kings and almost even with aces. Obviously, that didn’t work out, as the guy with kings went all in on the flop and I took the chance that didn’t pan out. Not a glorious start to the week.

It was a long, hot walk in the sun down to Caesars, where I got into the $15K. I made it through more than half the field but never really found a good footing and busted around 90th of 214. Jumped into the 4pm PLO game. I enjoy the various forms of Omaha (except Big O, which is an abomination), but I play more PLO8 than PLO and not much of that, so I was pleasantly surprised to make the final table—even in a field of only 36—but I only made 8th place and missed the money.

Got up the next morning and took another shot at the noon game at Caesars. More accurately, I took two shots, as it looked like the tournament might not make the guarantee at the time I first busted. By the second time I busted, it had made the guarantee. Again, I made it through about 60% of the field (though this time I had to shoot two bullets to do it).

That afternoon’s Double Stack Turbo game was already under way and it didn’t look like there were a lot of players, so I decided to skip it, got some dinner and a rest, then headed to the Venetian for the 7pm game there. Tuesday night is a $150 buy-in Green Chip ($25) Bounty tournament. I’d played a bounty game at the Venetian during my summer of ignominy in Vegas last year; I was determined to do better this time.

Our table was getting crushed by a woman a couple seats to my right who said she was a former dealer from the San Diego area. I was doing okay, but when I was up to about 40K, a quick count of her stack gave me an estimate of 90K or more. I kept plugging away, and even though I didn’t acquire a monster stack, I seemed to be able to find the pressure points on short stacks. Suddenly, it seemed, we were down to the final table, and I had two-thirds my buy-in in bounties safely in my pocket.

The woman with the early massive chip stack was the short stack by the time we got to final, and was the first to go. I started accumulating chips, getting up to second place with 175K (with the 200K chip leader on my immediate right).

175KOver the course of the final, I took four more bounties. My stack did get whacked at one point after that photo, knocking me down to 80K, but I quickly climbed back over 100K and managed to build up to 200K as we got down to four players. A couple propositions for a deal had been discussed, with the usual wrangling and posturing. The chip leader wanted $300 more than anyone else in an otherwise equal split; the old guy with the short stack said if he was in it at four players there’s be no more talk of a deal. In the end, though, the two bigger stacks got an equal amount, the old guy and the other stack got a smaller, equal amount, and since I’d just taken the chip lead, I got the hardware.

Venetian Poker Room Daily Tournament Champion

Venetian Poker Room Daily Tournament Champion

My second shot at the Wynn the next day went a lot better than the first, but not well enough. The first flight of the $250K guarantee had played until just before 10pm the night before. I was over chip average for over five hours on the second flight, then made a stupid mistake followed up by another, and was out and on my way home within a couple of hours.

Potmonkeys

pot•mon•key [‘pät-məŋ-kÄ“]. A poker player—particularly in Omaha tournaments—who consistently raises by the maximum amount as their first action.

I played three Pot Limit games yesterday, starting with a straight PLO High, then a PLO High-Low, and culminating in a mixed Hold’em/Omaha High-Low game (all at Portland Players Club) and expanded my observations on what I’m now referring to as “potmonkeys.”

No, not the Urban Dictionary definition of the term. But there are certain players in nearly every four- (and five-) card game I’ve sat in on who seem to think the proper strategy is to jam chips into the pot and hope that people will fold to them.

I know a couple of players for whom a variant of that strategy works. They pick hands and positions in Pot Limit games, bet them to the max, and consistently amass large stacks early on, re-buying so long as they have the option.

There are other players who seem to have only picked up the jamming strategy, however, and they bets against the wall (hence potmonkeys) on every hand they play. It makes them somewhat exploitable to the player who’s willing to play against the textbook.

Players overestimate the strength of their hands all the time. The odds in Hold’em are fairly well known by regular players, but people don’t seem to understand them sometimes. Having the best hand doesn’t mean you’ve got a lock on the chips. And in Omaha, odds are less known, much less understood.

Take, for example, the matchup between a player holding what’s considered the best starting hand in Omaha High-Low against a horrible hand: A A 2 3 v. Q 9 2 2. The player with aces has the nut flush draws in two of four suits, potential nut lows, draws to straights and straight flush hands, top pair, etc. The second player has only a pair of deuces, with one of his outs for a set locked up the first player’s hand. They have no flush possibilities, and a two-gapper for their only straight draw. There’s no chance of picking up a low pot. Looks like they’re a goner, doesn’t it? But in this near-worst case scenario, the second player still has a 14% chance to scoop the pot, and 20% to win the high side of a split pot. The first player scoops 80% of the time, but that’s against a hand deliberately chosen as a loser.

Would you play T 9 5 4? Seems like a lot of hearts already in the hand. Its chances against A A 2 3 are 20% for the scoop and 37% for the high hand. It’s marginally worse against  A A 2 2, where the hand’s double-paired as well as double-suited.

Pre-flop, yes, most hands are 4:1 dogs against double-paired, double-suited aces or  A A 2 3, but particularly in early stages of the tournament where their ability to build the pot is constrained by the size of the blinds, potmonkeys can be constrained by players willing to suffer some blows to see the flop and turn the tables.

Last Hand

My last hand of the 2012 WSOP (maybe my last hand of any WSOP) went pretty much the way of the rest of my time here in Las Vegas the past couple weeks.

I was in the third level of the 2pm Deepstack tournament. They’ve been huge, but today’s was particularly large; we’re near the Main Event, the final table of the One Million for One Drop benefit was playing out, and there weren’t any smaller buy-in bracelet events starting today, just a $10,000 6-Handed NLHE event and a $3,000 PLO8, both of which sound like a lot of fun but which are a little out of the range of most players. So the field in the Deepstack was 1,711 today, with a prize pool of $333,645, 198 places paid, and a top prizer on the schedule of $61,796 (I was on a table with a guy the other night who said he was in a 16-way chop at the end of one of them last weekend, with each player taking home over $10,000 on a $235 investment). Overflow from the Derepstack led to tables being set up in hallways a few hundred feet from the tournament area, practically up at the registration area of the Rio.

I’ve been up and a little down in the tournament. Currently, I was down to between 10,000 and 11,000 chips, with blinds at just 100/200, so I have 50 big blinds. Our table has just four of its original players remaining (including myself). There are three New York/New Jersey guys in seats 1, 3, and 4. There’s a woman in seat 2. All are what I think of as “older” but they’re probably only ten or fifteen years older than me. All of them seem to be pretty competent and have won good-sized pots. The guy in seat 1 just won an enormous pot that took out three players a few minutes earlier. I’m in seat 6.

Seat 5 is a South American guy who sat down for his first hand, made a raise UTG, then folded it after four all-ins, which is what led to the three open seats. Seats 7 and 9 are occupied by a couple of younger European guys who showed up after the all-ins. Seat 7 has proven aggresive and already managed to lose some chips to Seat 1 after winning a pot or two.

Anyway, the button is on me, and I pick up K K. The blinds are on the Euroguys (I saw the funniest Euroguy at the Venetian the other day: he had sort of shaved-side head with a peroxide mop thing on top, and a white ski jacket with a neck that made him look like he was wearing a brace or some sort of medieval gorget). Seat 1 raises to 450 and gets 2 callers, I don’t remember who, exactly. I re-raise to 2,100 with my kings. The blinds are out. Seat 1 three-bets to 4,500 and the other callers go away.

I’m pretty certain at this point that I’m up against aces. It’s going to cost me just less than half my stack to see if I can hit a set on the flop and make life difficult for him. There’s 7,800 in the pot, I need to call 2,400. 3.25:1. I can recover from 6,500.

The flop puts out three spades, none of them the ace, none of them face cards. Seat 1 goes all-in and, having just taken out three players plus other winnings, he’s got me well-covered. There’s now 16,700 in the pot. 2.5:1 to call.

If he’s got aces—and I’m pretty sure he does—there’s a 50% chance that he doesn’t have A. If he doesn’t, I’m still behind, but have a lot of outs to make my flush; even A would be dead to him unless the board paired. If he does have A, then I’m drawing incredibly thin, hoping for K or K and no more spades.

Is he bluffing me? Or is he sucking me in?

Sucking in, as it turned out. He had me beat before the fourth (and fifth) spade turned over on the board. No straight flush, unfortunately.

No Progress Is Bad Progress

Nothing to report here from las Vegas yet, unless you’d like a stream of stories of loss, and if you’re reading the Poker Mutant, hopefully you’re not reading me for that!

So far, my first WSOP Deepstack event was my best showing. I’ve played a couple of other of the 2pm Deepstacks and a 10pm Deepstack, one of the nightly 7pm games at the Palazzo, and Limit Omaha Hi-Lo and NLHE at the Golden Nugget. Oh, and WSOP Event #44. Then, last night while I was waiting for my Doubles partner to bust out of a tournament at the Palazzo, I got a little ahead in a NLHE game, got the call that my seat opened in an Omaha Hi-Lo table, and got to play all of two hands before he called and we headed out to dinner at Krung Siam.

NP wrote me Monday and mentioned that a friend of his made the money in the bracelet event I played, and while I was looking for his name, I ran across another Oregon player, so as a quick little stats project, I looked up other Oregon cashes and entries.

There were 40 entrants who listed Oregon for their home when they signed up. That represented 1.36% of the 2,949 players entered in the tournament. I found 9 players from Oregon who made the money in the results this morning (none of the 40 made it to Day 3). Nearly a quarter of the Oregon entrants—22.5%—made the money. That’s 3% of the cashing field of 297, which may not sound like much, but then Oregon’s population isn’t that big, just 1.2% of the US population, and this is the World Series of Poker.

By comparison, Nevada, where lots of poker pros hang out, had 205 entries (7% of entries) for just 0.9% of the population if the US. There were 24 cashes from Nevada; 8% of the cashing field. There were no players from Nevada in the final 16 going into Day 3.