Wild Kingdom: Hands 81—100

Bovada $500 PLO8 Bounty

Less than a hundred hands into the bounty tournament, and more than 40 of the 65 entries are already out. I picked up a second bounty on Hand 78, but I’m still behind where I was sixty hands ago, and the blinds are a bit higher.

HAND 81 400/800 T5J 3 8
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 HJ TT27 22.8K 20/7
33 CO 2544 0.6K 18/12
6 D 9AQ2 8.2K 12/27 63/32 80/17 90/40 100/100
42 SB 7QA8 13.8K 13/1 67/19 72/9 75/10 0/0
7 BB K3A5 7.3K 24/14
39 UTG 377K 49.9K 5/>0
21 UTG1 K98J 13.9K 14/0

This seems as if it would be an ideal time for CO to wake up from whatever enchanted slumber he’s in, but not a chance. Folds go through to D, who has a suited ace and nut low draw. He raises to 2.8K. SB doesn’t have much of anything, but re-raises to 9.2K. D is all-in to call. their equity is equal pre-flop, for all intents and purposes. Both players have [ax qx], but the nine in D’s hand gives him an open-ended straight on the flop, which comes through on the river, and D scoops the pot with nut-nut.

HAND 82 400/800 K2J 3 Q
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG1 7K5A 22.8K 18/14
33 HJ 7AQQ 0.6K 24/1
6 CO 98AK 17.3K 18/0 29/0 35/0 66/6 85/10 0
42 D T664 5.6K 11/5
7 SB 7248 6.5K 15/8 21/18 14/9
39 BB 5T7Q 49.9K 10/0 29/4 31/4 34/11 25/>0 100
21 UTG 3268 13.9K 11/15 23/19 24/6

I limp in UTG with four low cards; CO and SB come along. CO opens for 1.6K on the flop with top pair. BB is the only caller, with his open-ended straight draw. Another 1.6K bet from CO gets called. The river pairs BB with the case queen. The short stack would have made a set. Even I would have had two pair for a win. BB takes the pot.

HAND 83 400/800 5T7
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG 2286 22.8K 12/19
33 UTG1 833A 0.6K 15/28
6 HJ TKQA 22.9K 27/0 42/0 14/0
42 CO 9K2J 5.6K 14/0
7 D 86K9 5.7K 13/0
39 SB Q5TT 45.9K 14/0 27/0 72/0
21 BB 7384 13.1K 18/16 35/60 14/69

HJ calls with double-suited Broadway cards. SB limps in with a pair of tens, and I check in BB. SB opens to 2.4K on the flop with top set. I have the only low draw, but no way to know that. I also have a gutshot straight draw, but choose to fold. SB wins more chips.

HAND 84 500/1000
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 BB 533K 22.8K 20/13
33 UTG 6QJ9 0.6K 14/0
6 UTG1 JQ6K 22.1K 9/0
42 HJ 8JK6 5.6K 20/3
7 CO J3T2 5.7K 16/49
39 D 42T4 47.5K 20/14
21 SB 78Q2 12.3K 11/5

Blinds are up again. UTG’s about to become a bounty. Only 9 places pay in the tournament; if his plan was to fold to the money, it’s not working. BB gets a walk.

HAND 85 500/1000 J36 2 7
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 SB 5954 23.3K 13/18
33 BB 5TTT 0.6K 0/0 3/0 0/0 >0/0 0/0 0/0
6 UTG 862A 22.1K 33/15 55/28 9/74 9/79 20/100 0/100
42 UTG1 7J43 5.6K 22/17
7 HJ QT8K 5.7K 18/0
39 CO 3KK5 47.5K 8/18 29/38 >0/4
21 D 88QK 11.8K 9/0 12/0 91/0 91/0 80/0 100/0

I don’t know that I’ve ever seen someone with pre-flop equity of 0% on both sides of the pot before, but that’s where the tiny stack in BB is. That is assuming all of the players stayed in the hand. No low draw, no chance of a set (the other ten is held by HJ) and a higher pair dealt to CO. It doesn’t really matter, BB is bounty bait at this point.UTG has a suited ace and nut low draw; he raises to 2K. CO calls with kings, and I come along with a pair and suited king-queen. With HJ out of the way, BB has a slim chance at a flush for the high pot, pre-flop. It’s checked to me on the flop and I pot to 7.1K with the second nut flush. UTG calls with the low draw, and he still has a chance at a full house or better for the high. UTG picks up a lot of equity with two pair on the turn, and he’s already got the low locked up. I shove my remaining 2.7K, hoping that an A2 draw might be counterfeit, but he calls. We split the pot and make a small gain, as well as splitting the bounty money.

HAND 86 500/1000
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 D 9237 22.8K 13/19
6 BB QKJ5 23.6K 31/0
42 UTG 526T 5.6K 13/16
7 UTG1 57T4 5.7K 13/6
39 HJ 3J84 45.5K 6/10
21 CO 8J6A 13.4K 29/6

Another one of those post-storm lulls. BB gets a walk.

HAND 87 500/1000
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 CO JAT7 22.8K 15/2
6 SB 9A64 23.6K 10/38
42 BB 38QJ 5.6K 16/0
7 UTG 7Q9A 5.7K 13/2
39 UTG1 4783 45.5K 23/0
21 HJ A65J 13.4K 32/21

UTG pots to 3.5K with one of the worst hands on the board and wins the blinds.

HAND 88 500/1000
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 CO 3AJ4 22.8K 19/26
6 D 2QT9 23.1K 29/0
42 SB 5674 4.6K 15/3
7 BB 73TA 7.2K 15/17
39 UTG Q623 45.5K 3/16
21 HJ 677Q 13.4K 28/0

CO pots this hand to win the blinds.

HAND 89 500/1000 958 4 A
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 HJ 6J7A 24.3K 12/9
6 CO 794T 23.1K 14/1
42 D 6Q3Q 4.1K 9/1 44/23 3/30 21/21 0/100
7 SB 9QJK 6.2K 30/0
39 BB Q453 45.5K 19/36
21 UTG 828A 13.4K 16/22 56/40 97/48 79/79 100/0

I limp in and D shoves for 4.1K. I call with a pair and nut low draw, and we’re HU to the flop. I practically tie up the high on the flop with a set, and I’m good for the low through the turn, though D picks up an open-ended straight draw. The set holds on the river, but my ace is counterfeit and we split the pot.

HAND 90 500/1000 632 2 6
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG 8535 24.3K 9/19
6 HJ TJ3A 23.1K 24/13 62/17 42/30 25/17 0/0
42 CO 4946 4.8K 11/13
7 D 8TT5 5.7K 24/3
39 SB 7T74 44.5K 27/6
21 BB 98J8 14.1K 6/0 38/0 58/0 75/0 100/0

HJ limps in with a low draw, suited ace, and thee Broadway cards. I check the BB. One of HJ’s low cards is counterfeit on the flop, and we end up checking it to the river while he waits for another low card that doesn’t pair the board to show up. Nothing does and I take the small pot.

HAND 91 500/1000 JJA T 5
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 BB 63QK 24.3K 16/3
6 UTG 5737 22.1K 4/6 35/12 22/7 8 0
42 HJ 67Q8 4.8K 7/0
7 CO 36A4 5.7K 37/33 65/35 78/12 92 100
39 D 8KT7 44.0K 20/0
21 SB 9592 15.6K 21/8

UTG calls with a pair and some not-so-low cards. CO has a suited ace and four lows, so he pots to 4.5K with 1.2K behind. UTG just calls. CO shoves on the flop with the paired ace and UTG calls because there’s already more than 11K in the pot, he’s getting nearly 10:1, with about 24% equity. That drops to just 8% on the turn when the chance of a low disappears. The river makes a nut flush for CO and he takes the entire pot.

HAND 92 500/1000 K46 K J
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 SB AJ76 23.3K 23/15 53/34 58/26 67/17 100
6 BB 83T5 16.4K 19/14 47/32 42/52 33/37 0
42 UTG Q962 4.8K 7/4
7 HJ KQ32 12.9K 20/33
39 CO Q9T3 44.0K 24/0
21 D 77J4 15.1K 17/3

SB limps in without much and is up against BB with slightly less. I think that if I had HJ’s hand—suited Broadway cards and third nut low—that I might have tried to get in on this one. SB gets middle pair and BB has a low open-ended straight draw. BB bets 1K and SB calls. Both players check the turn. SB makes a min-bet on the river, BB has missed everything and folds.

HAND 93 500/1000 92T
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 D 7AKT 25.3K 26/4
6 SB 6K92 14.4K 5/8
42 BB 93J5 4.8K 14/15 43/19 81/6
7 UTG 6K73 12.9K 5/2
39 HJ 9J88 44.0K 33/0
21 CO 4543 15.1K 26/48 64/53 20/25

I limp into the hand from the CO with almost a 50/50 chance of making the best low, and 36% overall equity. The flop is horrible for my hand, though and I fold when BB bets 2.5K on second pair and a flush draw.

HAND 94 600/1200 A3A
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG3 7K8J 25.3K 24/0
34 HJ 4TT6 26.8K 17/0 23/0 19/0
16 CO 343Q 18.8K 4/0
6 D 62KK 13.9K 18/3 24/9 11/14
42 SB 9783 6.3K 10/0 18/0 1/0
7 BB 95AQ 12.9K 19/0 24/0 60/0
28 UTG 2755 21.7K 10/9 13/21 8/51
39 UTG1 Q264 44.0K 5/21
21 UTG2 9A72 14.1K 5/14 7/17 14/3

We’re down to two tables now. Five players limp in. BB pots to 7.2K after the flop gives him trips. Even with the other ace in my hand, I only have 6% equity, less than everyone except SB. I fold along with everyone else.

HAND 95 600/1200 A7J 6 8
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG2 877K 25.3K 10/0
34 UTG3 53AK 25.6K 12/30 25/31 18/15 53/15 58/8 100/0
16 HJ 4975 18.8K 17/0
6 CO 4K43 12.7K 7/33 21/34 9/59 9/59 17/92 0/100
42 D 2K8Q 5.2K 7/0
7 SB 8TJ3 18.9K 25/0 37/2 35/0
28 BB TQQQ 20.5K 11/0 18/0 38/0 38/0 25/0 0/0
39 UTG 626T 44.0K 9/3
21 UTG1 J365 12.9K 7/14

Only UTG3, CO, and the blinds get to the flop here, with three limps and a check. BB and UTG3 check the flop, UTG3 bets 1.2K, CO and BB call. The turn continues to make the aces of UTG3 even better, with CO picking up a gut-shot straight draw and BB with a Broadway draw for BB, but BB folds in the face of pot-bet (8.4K) from CO. UTG3 makes the call. Both players check the river and split the pot, with CO taking the low and UTG3 the high.

HAND 96 600/1200
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG1 QJJ6 25.3K 25/0
34 UTG2 4AT9 27.4K 9/31
16 UTG3 AA7T 18.8K 5/16
6 HJ 59K5 14.5K 7/0
42 CO 5689 5.2K 12/10
7 D JK39 17.7K 22/0
28 SB 2832 18.1K 14/14
39 BB A78Q 44.0K 8/16
21 UTG 473K 12.9K 6/0

People are being relatively cautious about pre-flop betting, as you may have noticed. With stacks this shallow, it only takes a couple of bets for most of the players to be involved for all of their chips. UTG2 just min-raises here with a suited ace, then UTG3 pots to 9K with a pair of aces. Everyone folds and UTG3 takes the pot.

HAND 97 600/1200 459 3 T
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG TQ8J 25.3K 11/0
34 UTG1 KQQA 25.0K 17/0 47/0 95/0 99/0 100/0 100/0
16 UTG2 Q85K 23.0K 3/0
6 UTG3 377K 14.5K 20/0
42 HJ A269 5.2K 5/53 11/66 1/73 1/73 0/100 0/100
7 CO 9835 17.7K 13/6
28 D J89J 17.5K 22/0 28/0 4/0
39 SB 6A72 42.8K 10/53 19/71 0/73 0/73 0/100 0/100
21 BB K64A 12.9K 12/39

UTG1 limps in with high double-suited cards, and HJ shoves 5.2K with a suited ace and low draw. SB calls with the same low draw and another suited ace. D has jacks and calls. UTG1 also makes the call. Going to the flop, SB has duplicates of all of HJ’s low cards, plus another low card, which gives him a slightly higher chance of making the best low. UTG1 shoves his remaining 19.9K and gets called by SB. UTG1 takes the high from the main and side pots, HJ takes the low side pot and half the main low; SB get half the low main. Fortunately for SB and HJ, there was a little extra money from D’s call, so everyone gets chips.

HAND 98 600/1200
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 BB TTK4 25.3K 16/0
34 UTG 5862 30.8K 5/0
16 UTG1 2394 23.0K 14/29
6 UTG2 3867 14.5K 8/0
42 UTG3 8QT7 5.5K 15/0
7 HJ 3527 17.7K 12/29
28 CO Q856 12.4K 9/0
39 D JKJJ 43.1K 21/0
21 SB 3K2A 11.7K 22/34

UTG and HJ limp, I pot to 6K in SB with a suited ace and the three lowest cards. They both fold and I win.

HAND 99 600/1200 A2T 6 8
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 SB 9K44 24.1K 7/0
34 BB 8KK4 29.6K 27/0 52/0 50/0 33/0 0/0
16 UTG 8JTT 23.0K 35/0
6 UTG1 6539 14.5K >0/6
42 UTG2 Q56A 5.5K 21/6 38/12 38/37 42/8 0/0
7 UTG3 9325 16.5K 0/9
28 HJ 397A 12.4K 4/4
39 CO 752A 43.1K 5/9 10/25 12/30 25/100 100/100
21 D 4727 15.3K 0/5

UTG2 pots to 4.2K with just 1.3K back. Not an optimal hand with no suits and no premium low. He’s called by CO and BB. CO has the nut low draw, and BB has kings, but there are so many low cards dealt that nobody has a better than 10% chance of making the best low. CO has top and bottom pair on the flop, but BB’s flush draw gives him better odds for the high hand. UTG2 has a backup low better than CO’s, and goes all-in. Both CO and BB call. The turn counterfeit’s UTG2’s low, throwing it back to CO, who now has 60% overall equity, though UTG2 has the best hand for the high with a better two pair. CO bets 3.6K and BB calls. Backdoor diamonds come through to give CO the scoop. He bets 12.1K, BB folds, and CO gets a bounty as well as a pot of 24.2K. Player 42 is gone in 17th place.

HAND 100 600/1200
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 D Q6A2 23.5K 8/28
34 SB 8A6T 20.5K 19/2
16 BB Q28K 23.0K 10/0
6 UTG 8734 14.5K 9/7
7 UTG1 929Q 16.5K 17/0
28 UTG2 J954 12.4K 17/6
39 HJ 3K55 58.2K 19/5
21 CO 7QA4 15.3K 13/10

Lull hand. Nobody makes a move until it gets to D, who pots the low draw and takes the blinds.

Summary

MY VPIP for this group of hands dips to 40%, but overall it’s still near 60%. Overall PFR is only 4%, with just one more raise preflop from me here. I don’t win any low pots, but I take the high in three out of three showdowns, and I win the pot I raise preflop without a showdown.

Overall, the best predictors of winning hands are suited aces. Nearly half the hands that won with or without showdown had three  or more low-qualified ranks. Pairs aren’t as good. With stacks growing ever shallower, more A2 combos are being aggressive preflop to win without a showdown or being forced to make it to showdown.

Only two bounties on my table in these twenty hands, but several players have been knocked off in the rest of the tournament. We’re closing in on the final table (and the money). I may be one of the shorter stacks, well under average, but I promise, I’ll get you there.

More PLO8 tomorrow.