Wild Kingdom: Hands 61—80

Bovada $500 PLO8 Bounty

The post scheduled for Saturday got loose a little early; sorry if you’ve had to wait extra-long for this batch of hands!

In twenty hands, as the blinds had climbed and I’d lost a chunk of my stack, I’d gone from more than 40BB to just over 15BB. This is where the tripartite nature of PLO8 shows itself:

  1. Without antes, you have more time to wait for the right hand.
  2. More people into the pot preflop amplifies the effect for short stacks who win the pot.
  3. Split pots can hinder growth, but they can also provide critical chips for short stacks trying to survive.

Check back to the first installment for an explanation of the charts, though they should be relatively clear. Just a reminder that the numbers don’t show equity; they’re the percentage chance that the cards will make the best high/low hand on each street, including dead (folded) cards and whatever’s on the board.

HAND 61 250/500 54A 2 T
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
33 UTG A9QT 3.4K 16/0
57 UTG1 62K7 19.6K 13/5
48 HJ KJ78 16.5K 22/0
45 CO TA24 7.4K 10/56 35/59 73/63 75/63 90/40 100/0
41 D 7338 7.6K 17/5
21 SB J94Q 7.7K 8/0 26/0 2/0
54 BB 259J 10.9K 28/9 46/10 39/63 39/63 20/40 0/0

Player 18 is moved off for balancing. CO limps, SB calls, and BB checks his option. The flop is a little problematic for the players with low draws, as it pairs one of the low cards in their hands, but they both still have nearly a 2/3 chance of making a low. BB bets 500 and CO calls, with SB folding. The turn gives CO three pairs, counterfeits his last low card and counterfeits BB’s other low card. Most of BB’s equity now comes from chops. Neither player makes a low on the river, and two pair wins for CO after he gets BB to call another 500. I think BB’s call here is pretty bad; he should know that an ace here could be paired with any number of cards for a better two pair.

HAND 62 250/500 472
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
33 BB 5Q2A 3.4K 5/36
57 UTG K8TQ 19.6K 26/0
48 UTG1 373J 16.5K 14/1
45 HJ J4AT 9.9K 15/4
41 CO K5KQ 7.6K 11/0 33/0 39/0
21 D 699K 7.2K 23/0 40/0 23/0
54 SB A326 8.9K 10/68 27/76 38/100

HJ, CO, and D limp in, SB raises to 1.5K with a great low drawing hand. CO and D make the call; neither has a low draw. CO and I both fold to a bet of 2.8K after the flop.

HAND 63 250/500 3QT 4 K
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
33 SB 33AJ 2.9K 13/6
57 BB 83J6 19.6K 6/3 12/21 11/0
48 UTG 2656 16.5K 9/17
45 UTG1 28Q7 9.4K 29/0
41 HJ A28J 6.1K 17/11 38/12 27/12 27/12 30/25 100
21 CO T45K 5.7K 24/3
54 D T56T 12.9K 15/1 54/6 73/11 73/11 70/15 0

I don’t know how SB folds his hand here with less than 6BB, but we are getting close to the money, I guess he’s trying to skim in. Second nut low and a blocker to anyone else having it? Couple high cards? Gotta pick your stand somewhere. HJ calls, D calls, BB checks. D pushes to 1.8K on the flop, BB drops out, HJ calls. It may look as if HJ is in a precarious position against D’s flopped set of tens, but HJ does have a double-gutter straight draw, with 9 or king completing, as well as the wheel draw. An ace or a two can swing the low to D. D bets 5.3K on the turn, HJ has to go all-in to call, and the king on the river swings the wheel of fortune to HJ.

HAND 64 250/500 TAT 4 7
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
33 D 335J 2.7K 13/4
57 SB QQA5 19.1K 23/2 79/2 97/0 90/0 100/0
48 BB 2988 16.5K 14/0
45 UTG 26T4 9.4K 8/6
41 UTG1 96Q8 13.0K 22/0
21 HJ 994K 5.7K 21/0
54 CO 623A 6.8K 4/45 21/52 3/26 10/50 0/100

Player 54 has picked up almost exactly the same great low draw he had two hands earlier. Let’s see if he can make some chips and hold onto them longer than a single hand this time. I limp in for 500. CO pots to 2.3K. SB has a suited ace and a high pair and raises to 7.8K. He’s HU with CO, who’s all-in to call the 4-bet. Both of them make two pair on the flop, but SB’s queens make the difference for a kicker—unless a king shows up on the board, SB’s taking the high for two pair. The turn keeps alive the possibility of a wheel straight for CO. The river doesn’t make the straight, but it does save CO’s low equity and the players split the pot.

HAND 65 250/500 K6A
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
33 CO K564 2.7K 18/11
57 D 9J6J 19.6K 34/0 53/0 92/0
48 SB 7ATT 16.0K 13/1 20/8 3/0
45 BB T834 9.4K 5/31 8/35 0/63
41 UTG 3753 13.0K 9/8
21 UTG1 49QJ 5.2K 13/0
54 HJ 982A 7.3K 14/15 20/23 5/16

HJ is the first caller, D and SB follow along and SB checks. An all-diamond flop makes flushes for both D and SB. HJ bets 1K with just an ace, D pops it to 5K, and everyone folds, SB apparently figuring (correctly) that there might be a bigger flush out there than ten-high.

HAND 66 250/500 5JT 9 T
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
33 HJ 69J6 2.7K 8/0
57 CO 8J29 22.1K 19/0 24/0 43/0 40 50 0
48 D 59T8 15.5K 11/0
45 SB T5K7 8.9K 18/0 25/0 39/0 50 50 100
41 BB 2644 13.0K 20/14 29/14 11/3 10
21 UTG A263 5.2K 19/39 24/39 9/20 0
54 UTG1 377K 5.8K 20/0

I’m the one with the A236 hand this time and only one player has the potential for a better low draw so far. I limp in with HJ and SB, and the flop sends my equity plummeting. CO has top pair and an open-ended straight draw, SB has two pair. Both of the players with flush possibilities already folded. Everyone checks the flop. On the turn, my hand is garbage. BB could still make a set of fours to win. CO’s straight draw has lost equity to the made two pairs of SB but he’s made a better two pair than SB. CO bets 2K on the turn and SB calls; with BB dropping out, it’s an actual coin flip. And the winner is SB with a full house. He bets just 500 into a 4K pot, CO rises to the bait and raises to 7.5K, SB is all-in to call, and wins a pot of 18.9K.

HAND 67 250/500 8TJ 2 7
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
33 UTG1 9TJJ 2.7K 15/0
57 HJ 599K 13.1K 15/0
48 CO 85Q3 15.5K 18/17
45 D 8J37 18.9K 6/2
41 SB 4KK2 12.5K 19/15 39/19 28/15 52/15 75/0 100/0
21 BB A6T7 4.7K 14/9 35/11 41/3
54 UTG KA65 5.8K 18/44 31/55 32/30 48/30 25/60 0/100

UTG calls, and action folds to the SB who also gets in. I’m in BB and check. SB bets 1K on his kings. I’ve got a gut-shot straight draw, but I don’t have the top end of the straight, and it’s 20% of my stack, so I fold. UTG calls. Both check the turn. SB takes the top half with just the kings. If I’d stayed in, I woiuld have had two pair on the river. UTG gets the low.

HAND 68 300/600 384 9 5
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
57 UTG1 QA7Q 13.1K 14/10 19/12 2/7 0/5 0/100
48 HJ 75AA 15.5K 23/57 70/60 1/100 0/100 0/100
45 CO 5QT2 18.9K 13/0
41 D JK83 12.7K 13/1
21 SB AKT5 4.2K 8/49 14/49 97/93 100/95 100/0
65 BB 8467 5K 26/3
54 UTG KJT2 6.1K 10/0

UTG called the new blind level, UTG1 potted to 2.7K with queens and suited ace, HJ repotted for 9.6K with aces, one of which was suited. CO an D fold, and I decide to take a stand with three Broadway cards and a suited ace, I go all-in to call. BB and UTG fold, UTG1 goes all in for a total of 13.1K, and HJ is all-in with about 2.4K behind. The flop is about as good as it could be for me. The turn locks up my high, and it looks for a moment like I’m going to get three-quarters of the (smaller) main pot, then the river counterfeits my low and I’m just taking the high. HJ wins the bulk of the money: the high side pot, half the low side pot and half the low main; UTG1 gets half the low side, and I at least gain something with the main high pot.

HAND 69 300/600 837 K 8
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
57 UTG 4K55 7.9K 18/21
48 UTG1 TJ26 19.2K 22/4
45 HJ JA8K 18.9K 28/>0 62/9 52/45 95/30 100
41 CO 5QJA 12.7K 21/19
21 D 4474 6.8K 1/2
65 SB KJ37 4.4K 10/3
54 BB Q736 5.5K 7/7 38/40 48/20 5/10 0

Just HJ and BB get to the flop on this hand, and pretty evenly matched in terms of overall equity, at 52%/48%. HJ picks up a lot of low equity when two of BB’s low cards are counterfeited on the flop, on the other hand, BB now has two pair. HJ bets 600 and BB calls. Things go south for BB when HJ makes a better two pair on the turn, but he calls another 600 bet. The river means there’s no low for either player, HJ has a full house, and BB check-folds to a 3.9K bet.

HAND 70 300/600 2A9 K K
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
57 BB T7AA 7.9K 24/0 30/4 80/8 89/8 70/0 0
48 UTG 366Q 19.2K 10/4
45 UTG1 878T 21.0K 20/>0 28/3 13/43
41 HJ 479Q 12.7K 10/>0
21 CO 353T 6.8K 4/6
65 D KKJ2 4.1K 25/0 31/0 2/0 2/0 5/0 100
54 SB 22A4 3.7K 10/39 16/41 9/14 9/15 25/0 0

UTG1 limps in with a pair of eights. D is next to call with double-suited kings. SB limps the best low draw, then BB raises single-suited aces to 3.6K (with a bad low draw) and setting off a chain reaction. UTG1 has the most chips at the table and makes the call, then D shoves for another 500. SB is all-in to make the call. BB and UTG1 just call. Four players are in for the main pot of 14.7K, with 1.2K in a side pot excluding SB. It’s looking grim for the all-in players on the flop: SB has a set of twos, but BB has three aces. D’s kings are on the ropes, and he has no low draw. BB goes all-in for another 3.8K and UTG1 folds, though he now has the best low draw. The cavalry comes over the hill for the short stacks on the turn. D gets a set like everyone else. SB has the nut flush draw. Then the river brings the last king and turns everything on its head. No low, so D wins the 16K combined pots and a bounty for knocking out player 54 in 28th place.

HAND 71 300/600 32A 8 6
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 HJ A4TA 16.0K 19/21 29/42 82/81 83/81 67/100 100/100
33 CO 83QA 1.8K 0/28
62 D Q75K 14.2K 19/0
6 SB Q579 5.7K 8/0
42 BB 3342 30.3K 7/26 30/35 27/81 27/81 42/100 0/100
7 UTG 9428 4.2K 9/7
8 UTG1 QK4T 11.1K 5/0
39 UTG2 5T6K 26.5K 7/2
21 UTG3 K8JJ 6.8K 33/0 41/0 1/0

Table change at 27 players.I limp in (with the best starting chance of making the high hand) and HJ raises aces to 2.4K. CO is disconnected/folded. BB calls and I come along. The flop isn’t the best for me, and I fold to a BB bet of 7.5K. HJ calls with the same low draw and a better set. BB catches some opportunities for a flush on the turn and goes all-in for 20.4K. HJ calls for his last 6.1K. After the river, both players split the low pot with a 6432A, and HJ takes all of the high pot.

HAND 72 300/600 82K 2 6
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG3 73JQ 26.0K 5/0
33 HJ 74A7 1.8K 19/16
62 CO 5T4Q 14.2K 9/6
6 D 48J2 5.4K 8/6 17/31 0/8 0/22 0/0 0/0
42 SB QKT8 23.0K 9/0 15/0 6/0 6/0 0/0 0/0
7 BB 59Q3 4.2K 5/25 10/42 9/73
8 UTG 96T5 11.1K 13/1
39 UTG1 2853 26.5K 8/46
21 UTG2 K9AK 4.4K 35/0 58/0 85/0 94/0 100/0 100/0

I know. My performance so far hasn’t been very impressive. Here I am, floating along at 7BB, with six players having more chips just at my table. That’s okay, stuff’s about to happen. I have a suited ace and suited king. No low. But this hand has 22% equity, twice the average nine-handed. I limp into the hand UTG2. D and SB call. The case king on the flop commits me to the hand, and I pot to 2.4K. D has bottom two pair and no chance to win the high pot and raises to 4.8K, nearly his entire stack. SB has top two pair and clicks back to 7.2K. BB folds, with a pretty bad-looking low (though it’s the best low), I go all-in, and D puts his last 39 chips in the pot. The turn makes full houses for me and D, and the river doesn’t change anything. I win the main pot; D wins a small side pot.

HAND 73 300/600 62K T 3
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG2 9QK8 26.0K 8/0
33 UTG3 8J46 1.8K 7/0
62 HJ 875T 14.2K 7/>0
6 CO Q558 2.0K 9/>0
42 D 4K2J 17.5K 13/5
7 SB JTQA 3.6K 11/0
8 BB 63T4 11.1K 16/5 53/5 35/19 33/16 0/0
39 UTG K6AA 26.5K 17/38 47/40 65/14 67/0 100/0
21 UTG1 779A 13.9K 18/12

UTG is the biggest stack on the table and opens his single-suited aces to 2.1K. BB is the only caller. Defying conventional wisdom, while UTG still has a 59%/41% overall equity advantage over BB, BB is slightly ahead in the chance of making the best high hand, with what looks like garbage cards. BB check-raises all-in over UTG’s 4.5K c-bet on the flop and gets called; UTG has top two pair. A five or seven scoops the pot for BB—and they’re the only remaining low cards that give him a low—but neither comes and UTG wins a bounty. Player 8 is out in 27th place.

HAND 74 300/600 529 T 9
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG1 345A 26.0K 25/36 46/36 76/73 50/50 0
33 UTG2 76JK 1.8K 17/1
62 UTG3 J234 14.2K 8/30 29/30 43/23 25/13 0
6 HJ 2TAQ 2.0K 22/16 39/16 18/1 44/0 100
42 CO 79K8 17.5K 24/0
7 D 39QQ 3.3K 1/0
39 BB K86Q 37.9K 7/0
21 UTG J878 13.9K 12/0

I fold my 4% equity in the hand and UTG1 calls with nearly 30%. UTG2 still seems to be hoping to slide into the money, he’s got just 3BB left, so he’s gone in less than two rounds. UTG3 limps with another lowish hand. HJ has the nut low draw and three Broadway cards, so he shoves for 2K. Both UTG1 and UTG3 call. HJ’s hopes for a low are shattered with the deuce on the flop, UTG1 picks up a huge number of outs to make a low straight (as well as hitting middle pair, and UTG3 seems poised to share in the small bounty. Both UTG1 and UTG3 check the flop. They also check the turn, when things swing HJ’s way, with top pair. Then HJ scoops the pot with the best two pair on the river.

HAND 75 300/600 36Q
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 UTG QK25 24.0K 11/0
33 UTG1 5687 1.8K 12/1
62 UTG2 44A3 12.2K 6/43 28/54 27/67
6 UTG3 7TQK 6.6K 22/0
42 HJ A994 17.5K 8/24 17/28 12/67
7 CO 2T34 3.3K 8/19
39 SB 269T 37.3K 22/0
21 BB JJA7 13.9K 21/0 58/0 60/0

UTG2 limps in with four low cards and the fours. HJ raises his nines and suited ace to 2.4K. I call from BB with the jacks, and UTG2 picks up the slack. HJ opens to 7.5K on the flop with just the low draw, UTG2 and I both lay down.

HAND 76 400/800 J67 6 A
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 BB 6Q75 24.0K 25/2
33 UTG 49AJ 1.8K 11/15
62 UTG1 28Q2 9.8K 33/0
6 UTG2 388A 6.6K 10/22 33/25 18/37 19/31 100/0
42 HJ TJ9K 22.6K 8/0
7 CO 5KQT 3.3K 4/0
39 D 2435 37.0K 13/48 48/59 55/43 31/25 0/100
21 SB 9KJK 11.5K 3/0 19/0 27/0 50/0 0/0

I’ve got kings again. Unfortunately, this time both of the other kings are dealt, so there’s not much chance of me getting another, so with no low, I’ve got 1% overall equity. UTG2 is double-suited with a pair of eights and second nut low, and limps. HJ folds a sub-Broadway rundown, D has a wheel rundown, and I pick this point to pot to 4K. Both UTG2 and D call. I catch a jack on the flop, but D has a billion ways to make a straight. I shove for 7.5K, UTG2 is all-in for 2.6K with backdoor flush draws, and D calls with the low draw. I pull ahead on the turn with two pair, then the river kills me, making a better two pair for UTG2. He and D split the 20.5K main pot. I split a 10K side pot with D, but it was a bit of a hit.

HAND 77 400/800 QKT 4 T
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 SB 7498 23.2K 5/0
33 BB A856 1.8K 20/15
62 UTG 9537 9.8K 8/12 21/41 3 0 0
6 UTG1 Q52J 10.2K 21/12
42 UTG2 7T5K 22.6K 16/0
7 HJ 764Q 3.3K 12/6
39 CO 8K6J 40.7K 15/0
21 D 239Q 5.0K 11/6 84/7 97 100 100

UTG limps and I raise to 3.6K, UTG shoves for 9.8K and I’m all-in. HU to the flop. Neither one of our hands are what you’d call premium., and I’m not sure why UTG’s getting involved for half his stack at this point in the game with what he’s got. I, at least, have the third nut low draw. Maybe for the bounty. Pre-flop, I have 69% equity in the hand. The flop more or less clinches the win for me: there’s no possibility of a low and I have the highest pair. UTG needs running cards to make a straight and the turn eliminates that chance.

HAND 78 400/800 K59 7 J
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 D 9444 22.8K 7/0
33 SB TJ58 1.0K 18/0
62 BB 35AJ 4.8K 12/37 36/42 21/14 0/37 0
6 UTG 2J63 10.2K 6/14
42 UTG1 382T 22.6K 5/9
7 UTG2 T7QA 3.3K 21/3
39 HJ QA97 40.7K 19/3
21 CO 8K67 11.2K 28/1 64/12 79/11 100/13 100

UTG limps, I call with the best chance to make a high hand, SB won’t make it through another round, BB raises to 3.6K with a good low draw, more than UTG wants to go for. I make the call because I’m stubborn and we go HU to the flop. I have the interior cards for a straight from the five to the nine, as well as the flush draw, BB has bottom pair and shoves his final 1.2K. I call, the board runs out with no low and I make the straight on the turn, which locks in the high pot for me. I get a bounty, player 62 busts in 24th place.

HAND 79 400/800 969 6 3
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 CO J5KQ 22.8K 11/0
33 D 8653 0.6K 11/31
6 BB J4TQ 9.4K 14/0
42 UTG 785K 22.6K 17/4
7 UTG1 4J4Q 3.3K 28/0 54/0 73/0 85 100
39 UTG2 756T 40.7K 9/21
21 HJ A3J2 17.2K 29/27 46/36 27/23 15 0

UTG1 raises to 2.4K and I re-raise to 4K with a pretty good low drawing hand, double-suited. UTG1 is all-in for less. This doesn’t go any better for me than it did for my opponent on the last hand. My shot at a low dissipates on the turn, and I miss getting an ace on the river for a better two pair.

HAND 80 400/800 9A8 J
PLAYER POSITION CARDS CHIPS START PRE-FLOP POST-FLOP PRE-TURN POST-TURN PRE-RIVER RIVER
65 HJ 9264 22.8K 8/0
33 CO Q33K 0.6K 14/0
6 SB QJ84 8.6K 15/0
42 BB 2643 22.6K 2/24 17/24 3/63 0/40
7 UTG 5765 7.3K 11/0
39 UTG1 AK3A 40.7K 38/23 84/23 97/0 100/0
21 UTG2 995J 13.9K 16/0

UTG1 has single-suited aces and second nut low draw. He raises to 2.8K. I fold a pair of nines with no low. The only caller to the raise is BB, with four low cards. The flop gives BB the best low draw, but UTG1 has top set and the nut flush draw, betting 6K, which BB calls, though with no real chance of taking the high pot, it would probably be best to cut his losses HU, at best he’s just going to get the money he puts in back. On the turn, UTG1 bets 18K on the made flush and BB folds.

Summary

Still running at 60% VPIP. And finally some pre-flop raises! Three out of four hands near the end when I was a little desperate, with varying success. None of the hands in this group were won without a showdown. I went to showdown in six out of twenty hands: overall 20% for the first 80. I’ve won 50% of the high pots when I went to showdown (I won a high side pot in Hand 76, but that was a bit of a disaster). Didn’t take any low pots in this group.

In half of these twenty hands, the winners of the high pot had a suited ace. Eight of them had jacks or better; three more had pairs under jacks. Fifteen hands of twenty hands go to showdown, and there are five low pots among them. Only one of the low pots is won by a hand with an A2 combo, but two hands that take the pot before showdown have it.

More PLO8 tomorrow.