Wild Kingdom: Hands 81–100

Bovada $500 PLO8 Bounty

Less than a hundred hands into the bounty tournament, and more than 40 of the 65 entries are already out. I picked up a second bounty on Hand 78, but I’m still behind where I was sixty hands ago, and the blinds are a bit higher.

HAND 81400/800T5J38
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65HJTT2722.8K20/7
33CO25440.6K18/12
6D9AQ28.2K12/2763/3280/1790/40100/100
42SB7QA813.8K13/167/1972/975/100/0
7BBK3A57.3K24/14
39UTG377K49.9K5/>0
21UTG1K98J13.9K14/0

This seems as if it would be an ideal time for CO to wake up from whatever enchanted slumber he’s in, but not a chance. Folds go through to D, who has a suited ace and nut low draw. He raises to 2.8K. SB doesn’t have much of anything, but re-raises to 9.2K. D is all-in to call. their equity is equal pre-flop, for all intents and purposes. Both players have AxQx, but the nine in D’s hand gives him an open-ended straight on the flop, which comes through on the river, and D scoops the pot with nut-nut.

HAND 82400/800K2J3Q
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65UTG17K5A22.8K18/14
33HJ7AQQ0.6K24/1
6CO98AK17.3K18/029/035/066/685/100
42DT6645.6K11/5
7SB72486.5K15/821/1814/9
39BB5T7Q49.9K10/029/431/434/1125/>0100
21UTG326813.9K11/1523/1924/6

I limp in UTG with four low cards; CO and SB come along. CO opens for 1.6K on the flop with top pair. BB is the only caller, with his open-ended straight draw. Another 1.6K bet from CO gets called. The river pairs BB with the case queen. The short stack would have made a set. Even I would have had two pair for a win. BB takes the pot.

HAND 83400/8005T7
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65UTG228622.8K12/19
33UTG1833A0.6K15/28
6HJTKQA22.9K27/042/014/0
42CO9K2J5.6K14/0
7D86K95.7K13/0
39SBQ5TT45.9K14/027/072/0
21BB738413.1K18/1635/6014/69

HJ calls with double-suited Broadway cards. SB limps in with a pair of tens, and I check in BB. SB opens to 2.4K on the flop with top set. I have the only low draw, but no way to know that. I also have a gutshot straight draw, but choose to fold. SB wins more chips.

HAND 84500/1000
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65BB533K22.8K20/13
33UTG6QJ90.6K14/0
6UTG1JQ6K22.1K9/0
42HJ8JK65.6K20/3
7COJ3T25.7K16/49
39D42T447.5K20/14
21SB78Q212.3K11/5

Blinds are up again. UTG’s about to become a bounty. Only 9 places pay in the tournament; if his plan was to fold to the money, it’s not working. BB gets a walk.

HAND 85500/1000J3627
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65SB595423.3K13/18
33BB5TTT0.6K0/03/00/0>0/00/00/0
6UTG862A22.1K33/1555/289/749/7920/1000/100
42UTG17J435.6K22/17
7HJQT8K5.7K18/0
39CO3KK547.5K8/1829/38>0/4
21D88QK11.8K9/012/091/091/080/0100/0

I don’t know that I’ve ever seen someone with pre-flop equity of 0% on both sides of the pot before, but that’s where the tiny stack in BB is. That is assuming all of the players stayed in the hand. No low draw, no chance of a set (the other ten is held by HJ) and a higher pair dealt to CO. It doesn’t really matter, BB is bounty bait at this point.UTG has a suited ace and nut low draw; he raises to 2K. CO calls with kings, and I come along with a pair and suited king-queen. With HJ out of the way, BB has a slim chance at a flush for the high pot, pre-flop. It’s checked to me on the flop and I pot to 7.1K with the second nut flush. UTG calls with the low draw, and he still has a chance at a full house or better for the high. UTG picks up a lot of equity with two pair on the turn, and he’s already got the low locked up. I shove my remaining 2.7K, hoping that an A2 draw might be counterfeit, but he calls. We split the pot and make a small gain, as well as splitting the bounty money.

HAND 86500/1000
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65D923722.8K13/19
6BBQKJ523.6K31/0
42UTG526T5.6K13/16
7UTG157T45.7K13/6
39HJ3J8445.5K6/10
21CO8J6A13.4K29/6

Another one of those post-storm lulls. BB gets a walk.

HAND 87500/1000
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65COJAT722.8K15/2
6SB9A6423.6K10/38
42BB38QJ5.6K16/0
7UTG7Q9A5.7K13/2
39UTG1478345.5K23/0
21HJA65J13.4K32/21

UTG pots to 3.5K with one of the worst hands on the board and wins the blinds.

HAND 88500/1000
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65CO3AJ422.8K19/26
6D2QT923.1K29/0
42SB56744.6K15/3
7BB73TA7.2K15/17
39UTGQ62345.5K3/16
21HJ677Q13.4K28/0

CO pots this hand to win the blinds.

HAND 89500/10009584A
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65HJ6J7A24.3K12/9
6CO794T23.1K14/1
42D6Q3Q4.1K9/144/233/3021/210/100
7SB9QJK6.2K30/0
39BBQ45345.5K19/36
21UTG828A13.4K16/2256/4097/4879/79100/0

I limp in and D shoves for 4.1K. I call with a pair and nut low draw, and we’re HU to the flop. I practically tie up the high on the flop with a set, and I’m good for the low through the turn, though D picks up an open-ended straight draw. The set holds on the river, but my ace is counterfeit and we split the pot.

HAND 90500/100063226
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65UTG853524.3K9/19
6HJTJ3A23.1K24/1362/1742/3025/170/0
42CO49464.8K11/13
7D8TT55.7K24/3
39SB7T7444.5K27/6
21BB98J814.1K6/038/058/075/0100/0

HJ limps in with a low draw, suited ace, and thee Broadway cards. I check the BB. One of HJ’s low cards is counterfeit on the flop, and we end up checking it to the river while he waits for another low card that doesn’t pair the board to show up. Nothing does and I take the small pot.

HAND 91500/1000JJAT5
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65BB63QK24.3K16/3
6UTG573722.1K4/635/1222/780
42HJ67Q84.8K7/0
7CO36A45.7K37/3365/3578/1292100
39D8KT744.0K20/0
21SB959215.6K21/8

UTG calls with a pair and some not-so-low cards. CO has a suited ace and four lows, so he pots to 4.5K with 1.2K behind. UTG just calls. CO shoves on the flop with the paired ace and UTG calls because there’s already more than 11K in the pot, he’s getting nearly 10:1, with about 24% equity. That drops to just 8% on the turn when the chance of a low disappears. The river makes a nut flush for CO and he takes the entire pot.

HAND 92500/1000K46KJ
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65SBAJ7623.3K23/1553/3458/2667/17100
6BB83T516.4K19/1447/3242/5233/370
42UTGQ9624.8K7/4
7HJKQ3212.9K20/33
39COQ9T344.0K24/0
21D77J415.1K17/3

SB limps in without much and is up against BB with slightly less. I think that if I had HJ’s hand—suited Broadway cards and third nut low—that I might have tried to get in on this one. SB gets middle pair and BB has a low open-ended straight draw. BB bets 1K and SB calls. Both players check the turn. SB makes a min-bet on the river, BB has missed everything and folds.

HAND 93500/100092T
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65D7AKT25.3K26/4
6SB6K9214.4K5/8
42BB93J54.8K14/1543/1981/6
7UTG6K7312.9K5/2
39HJ9J8844.0K33/0
21CO454315.1K26/4864/5320/25

I limp into the hand from the CO with almost a 50/50 chance of making the best low, and 36% overall equity. The flop is horrible for my hand, though and I fold when BB bets 2.5K on second pair and a flush draw.

HAND 94600/1200A3A
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65UTG37K8J25.3K24/0
34HJ4TT626.8K17/023/019/0
16CO343Q18.8K4/0
6D62KK13.9K18/324/911/14
42SB97836.3K10/018/01/0
7BB95AQ12.9K19/024/060/0
28UTG275521.7K10/913/218/51
39UTG1Q26444.0K5/21
21UTG29A7214.1K5/147/1714/3

We’re down to two tables now. Five players limp in. BB pots to 7.2K after the flop gives him trips. Even with the other ace in my hand, I only have 6% equity, less than everyone except SB. I fold along with everyone else.

HAND 95600/1200A7J68
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65UTG2877K25.3K10/0
34UTG353AK25.6K12/3025/3118/1553/1558/8100/0
16HJ497518.8K17/0
6CO4K4312.7K7/3321/349/599/5917/920/100
42D2K8Q5.2K7/0
7SB8TJ318.9K25/037/235/0
28BBTQQQ20.5K11/018/038/038/025/00/0
39UTG626T44.0K9/3
21UTG1J36512.9K7/14

Only UTG3, CO, and the blinds get to the flop here, with three limps and a check. BB and UTG3 check the flop, UTG3 bets 1.2K, CO and BB call. The turn continues to make the aces of UTG3 even better, with CO picking up a gut-shot straight draw and BB with a Broadway draw for BB, but BB folds in the face of pot-bet (8.4K) from CO. UTG3 makes the call. Both players check the river and split the pot, with CO taking the low and UTG3 the high.

HAND 96600/1200
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65UTG1QJJ625.3K25/0
34UTG24AT927.4K9/31
16UTG3AA7T18.8K5/16
6HJ59K514.5K7/0
42CO56895.2K12/10
7DJK3917.7K22/0
28SB283218.1K14/14
39BBA78Q44.0K8/16
21UTG473K12.9K6/0

People are being relatively cautious about pre-flop betting, as you may have noticed. With stacks this shallow, it only takes a couple of bets for most of the players to be involved for all of their chips. UTG2 just min-raises here with a suited ace, then UTG3 pots to 9K with a pair of aces. Everyone folds and UTG3 takes the pot.

HAND 97600/12004593T
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65UTGTQ8J25.3K11/0
34UTG1KQQA25.0K17/047/095/099/0100/0100/0
16UTG2Q85K23.0K3/0
6UTG3377K14.5K20/0
42HJA2695.2K5/5311/661/731/730/1000/100
7CO983517.7K13/6
28DJ89J17.5K22/028/04/0
39SB6A7242.8K10/5319/710/730/730/1000/100
21BBK64A12.9K12/39

UTG1 limps in with high double-suited cards, and HJ shoves 5.2K with a suited ace and low draw. SB calls with the same low draw and another suited ace. D has jacks and calls. UTG1 also makes the call. Going to the flop, SB has duplicates of all of HJ’s low cards, plus another low card, which gives him a slightly higher chance of making the best low. UTG1 shoves his remaining 19.9K and gets called by SB. UTG1 takes the high from the main and side pots, HJ takes the low side pot and half the main low; SB get half the low main. Fortunately for SB and HJ, there was a little extra money from D’s call, so everyone gets chips.

HAND 98600/1200
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65BBTTK425.3K16/0
34UTG586230.8K5/0
16UTG1239423.0K14/29
6UTG2386714.5K8/0
42UTG38QT75.5K15/0
7HJ352717.7K12/29
28COQ85612.4K9/0
39DJKJJ43.1K21/0
21SB3K2A11.7K22/34

UTG and HJ limp, I pot to 6K in SB with a suited ace and the three lowest cards. They both fold and I win.

HAND 99600/1200A2T68
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65SB9K4424.1K7/0
34BB8KK429.6K27/052/050/033/00/0
16UTG8JTT23.0K35/0
6UTG1653914.5K>0/6
42UTG2Q56A5.5K21/638/1238/3742/80/0
7UTG3932516.5K0/9
28HJ397A12.4K4/4
39CO752A43.1K5/910/2512/3025/100100/100
21D472715.3K0/5

UTG2 pots to 4.2K with just 1.3K back. Not an optimal hand with no suits and no premium low. He’s called by CO and BB. CO has the nut low draw, and BB has kings, but there are so many low cards dealt that nobody has a better than 10% chance of making the best low. CO has top and bottom pair on the flop, but BB’s flush draw gives him better odds for the high hand. UTG2 has a backup low better than CO’s, and goes all-in. Both CO and BB call. The turn counterfeit’s UTG2’s low, throwing it back to CO, who now has 60% overall equity, though UTG2 has the best hand for the high with a better two pair. CO bets 3.6K and BB calls. Backdoor diamonds come through to give CO the scoop. He bets 12.1K, BB folds, and CO gets a bounty as well as a pot of 24.2K. Player 42 is gone in 17th place.

HAND 100600/1200
PLAYERPOSITIONCARDSCHIPSSTARTPRE-FLOPPOST-FLOPPRE-TURNPOST-TURNPRE-RIVERRIVER
65DQ6A223.5K8/28
34SB8A6T20.5K19/2
16BBQ28K23.0K10/0
6UTG873414.5K9/7
7UTG1929Q16.5K17/0
28UTG2J95412.4K17/6
39HJ3K5558.2K19/5
21CO7QA415.3K13/10

Lull hand. Nobody makes a move until it gets to D, who pots the low draw and takes the blinds.

Summary

MY VPIP for this group of hands dips to 40%, but overall it’s still near 60%. Overall PFR is only 4%, with just one more raise preflop from me here. I don’t win any low pots, but I take the high in three out of three showdowns, and I win the pot I raise preflop without a showdown.

Overall, the best predictors of winning hands are suited aces. Nearly half the hands that won with or without showdown had three  or more low-qualified ranks. Pairs aren’t as good. With stacks growing ever shallower, more A2 combos are being aggressive preflop to win without a showdown or being forced to make it to showdown.

Only two bounties on my table in these twenty hands, but several players have been knocked off in the rest of the tournament. We’re closing in on the final table (and the money). I may be one of the shorter stacks, well under average, but I promise, I’ll get you there.

More PLO8 tomorrow.